Articles in Category: Current Publications
The cost of electrical power is increasing and we expect it to keep increasing in the foreseeable future. This does a lot more than just affecting your pocket as a consumer. It affects the entire economy. On the other hand, a power utility needs revenue, maintain or replace assets and to expand to cover its growing market. One way to secure the additional revenue is to increase the tariff.
One of the most important parts of the economy that are most influenced by the price of power is the mining, manufacturing, and industrial sectors. Changes to the economic activity in these sectors is a big contributor to overall growth of an economy.
As the price of energy increases, mining and manufacturing industries can no longer ignore the impact on their business. We talk of energy-intensive and energy-dependent industries. These are industries that use a lot of power and where the cost of power is a significant part of the cost of their product.
For energy-intensive industries this strong link between the cost of power and production is greatly magnified by the large amount of power consumed.
Electricity as an essential input to production and to economic activity in general. Changes in electricity prices impact each and every individual in South Africa, as well as industry. The cost of electricity will change the demand as people become more energy efficient or in the worst case where a company becomes non-competitive and closes its doors.
This directly affects a power utility’s core business. Less power being bought removes revenue even though the unit cost increases. In the extreme increasing in unit cost of power can result in lower total revenue for a utility.
The work was completed in 2011/2012. We considered the MYPD price increases that were expected at the time, specifically annual average price increase modelled at 25.8% , 30% , 16% , 16% thereafter for the customers. The forecast ran from 2012 to 2017.
This paper informs on a fundamental issue experienced in the planning and funding of electricity supply networks in South Africa; the contentious question of prioritising capital planning investment spend in an economically sustainable way, while still achieving universal access and supply of electricity to all South Africans. The trade-off between investment for performance at all costs relative to economic sense and sensibility is investigated.